Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.076438 11.381668 12.882171 14.756210 17.065204 19.859857 2.356698e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.111442 9.754135 11.837659 14.756253 18.885319 24.776147 3.437555e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.969690 8.712296 11.065386 14.627623 20.199616 29.256935 4.699395e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.386250 8.242360 10.884597 15.167865 22.526083 36.168352 6.906767e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.671342 7.462563 10.096509 14.556204 22.710636 39.310264 8.653279e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.089879 6.795488 9.366143 13.868500 22.524214 41.592067 1.048217e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.667213 6.314148 8.853224 13.443528 22.705303 44.800576 1.316490e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.384793 6.014475 8.587557 13.400403 23.644204 50.452622 1.819480e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.347953 6.088583 8.938045 14.557958 27.601995 67.718748 3.830666e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.234607 6.025946 9.043098 15.254789 30.771820 86.203750 8.765147e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.038891 5.808792 8.846982 15.287702 32.234331 100.094761 1.948259e+03
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.914919 5.700211 8.833588 15.711660 35.003967 124.916657 1.151422e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.676142 5.396230 8.460078 15.346115 35.543101 141.088979 1.947428e+06
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.489221 5.171795 8.222498 15.279373 37.172529 170.827561 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.314547 4.954257 7.973507 15.137761 38.531180 205.292085 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.227226 4.883992 8.005771 15.705842 42.966089 299.344518 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.036559 4.612293 7.601761 15.061991 42.144566 322.478988 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.855530 4.347507 7.190530 14.338954 40.718905 332.302712 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.713737 4.146804 6.896428 13.892581 40.395399 367.431013 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.617479 4.024487 6.755709 13.847303 41.965520 470.053659 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.626686 4.098995 7.038678 15.063830 50.877764 1148.913349 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.594692 4.092583 7.145374 15.797323 58.211398 3106.228557 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.517236 3.993124 7.034421 15.831989 61.333001 6971.948246 NaN